Celaya 0-2 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 6 Mar 2024

Celaya
0-2 HT 0-0
Venados
📅06/03/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Celaya vs Venados Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-6.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celaya v Venados — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celaya EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.78/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.88
-1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Celaya vs Venados Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celaya
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Venados
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
26.03.2023 Celaya Celaya 2-1 HT 0-1 Venados Venados MEK2
15.07.2022 Venados Venados 3-2 HT 2-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
14.04.2022 Celaya Celaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
28.07.2021 Venados Venados 1-2 HT 1-2 Celaya Celaya MEK2
24.03.2021 Venados Venados 0-1 HT 0-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
POST-MATCH Celaya vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados got the better of Celaya 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Celaya at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Celaya and 1.00 for Venados.

What was the final score of Celaya vs Venados?

Celaya 0-2 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celaya vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Celaya 54%, draw 25%, Venados 21%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Celaya), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celaya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
6 Mar 2024
04:05 Atlante vs Tlaxcala Analysis →
19:00 Inter de Queretaro vs Pioneros de Cancun Analysis →