Ghazl El Mehalla 2-2 Petrojet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division Yükselme Playoff, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
25%
2.83
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.38
Over 2.5
41%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
32%
-6.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
69%
-10.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
31%
+10.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrojet EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Petrojet
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.01.2024 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 HT 0-1 Petrojet Petrojet MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
2-2
AWAY Petrojet
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs Petrojet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ghazl El Mehalla and Petrojet couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Ghazl El Mehalla at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 48% of the ball to Petrojet's 52%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Petrojet?

Ghazl El Mehalla 2-2 Petrojet in the Egypt - 2nd Division Yükselme Playoff on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Petrojet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl El Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 43%, draw 25%, Petrojet 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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