Baumholder 2-5 Karbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
42%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baumholder The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Karbach The Market 30%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-53% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Baumholder vs Karbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karbach swept aside Baumholder 5-2 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Karbach made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Baumholder vs Karbach?

Baumholder 2-5 Karbach in the Germany - Oberliga on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baumholder vs Karbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baumholder win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Baumholder 39%, draw 30%, Karbach 31%. The final score 2-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Baumholder) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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