Nöttingen 5-1 Offenburger FV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.18
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
44%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Nöttingen win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
65%
Home Win
80%
-15.1pp
17%
Draw
13%
+3.9pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nöttingen The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Offenburger FV The Market 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
461 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nöttingen
5-1
AWAY Offenburger FV
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Nöttingen vs Offenburger FV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nöttingen cruised past Offenburger FV 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nöttingen as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nöttingen had 62% of the ball to Offenburger FV's 38%, shots finished 18-6.

What was the final score of Nöttingen vs Offenburger FV?

Nöttingen 5-1 Offenburger FV in the Germany - Oberliga on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nöttingen vs Offenburger FV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nöttingen win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Nöttingen 65%, draw 17%, Offenburger FV 18%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nöttingen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nöttingen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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