Olimpia Grudziadz 3-0 Olimpia Elblag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.56
Over
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.38
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
22%
5.05
6+
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.20/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.22
-24% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
05.08.2023 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 1-0 HT 1-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
01.05.2021 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 3-1 HT 1-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
07.11.2020 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 3-1 HT 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
3-0
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Olimpia Elblag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz cruised past Olimpia Elblag 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olimpia Grudziadz as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 40% of the ball to Olimpia Elblag's 60%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Olimpia Elblag led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Olimpia Grudziadz and 1.67 for Olimpia Elblag.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Olimpia Elblag?

Olimpia Grudziadz 3-0 Olimpia Elblag in the Poland - 2nd Division on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Olimpia Elblag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 45%, draw 25%, Olimpia Elblag 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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