Esenler Erokspor 2-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.06
No
45%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.2pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.7pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.2pp
45%
BTTS No
56%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.65/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.66
+26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 0-2 HT 0-2 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
2-1
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor squeezed past Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Esenler Erokspor as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 55% of the ball to Karacabey Belediye Spor's 45%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Esenler Erokspor 2-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 58%, draw 26%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esenler Erokspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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