Maribor 1-2 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+12.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje EU Bookmakers 17%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.18/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+67% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -46%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Radomlje
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.12.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 2-2 HT 1-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
28.09.2023 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 0-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
23.07.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 0-4 HT 0-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
18.03.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
06.12.2022 Maribor Maribor 7-0 HT 4-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
18.09.2022 Radomlje Radomlje 0-5 HT 0-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
1-2
AWAY Radomlje
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Radomlje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomlje nicked a narrow win over Maribor 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Maribor at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Maribor had 62% of the ball to Radomlje's 38%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Maribor and 0.67 for Radomlje.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Radomlje?

Maribor 1-2 Radomlje in the Slovenia - Cup on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Radomlje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Maribor 51%, draw 22%, Radomlje 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maribor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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