Keflavik 4-3 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.31
No
39%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
35%
+6.2pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.6pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.4pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 46%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
2.02/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.03
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.73 xG 2.34
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
354 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-1 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
27.08.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 0-0 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
02.06.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 4-1 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
29.10.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 4-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
17.09.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 4-8 HT 3-4 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
03.07.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 3-1 HT 2-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik nicked a narrow win over Fram Reykjavik 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 18% / 40% — and on the day Keflavik made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keflavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Keflavik and 2.00 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik?

Keflavik 4-3 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 42%, draw 18%, Fram Reykjavik 40%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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