Nanjing City 3-2 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.37
2-3 Goals
55%
1.78
4-5 Goals
11%
5.1
6+ Goals
5%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.9pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 21%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
0.99/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.16
-56% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
16.8 Crosses 14.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nanjing City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 0.41
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
456 Passes 170
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-1 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
30.04.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
29.11.2022 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-1 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
04.11.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-2 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
17.12.2021 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-2 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
28.11.2021 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Nanjing City vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nanjing City squeezed past Foshan Nanshi 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nanjing City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nanjing City and 1.17 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Foshan Nanshi?

Nanjing City 3-2 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nanjing City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 56%, draw 26%, Foshan Nanshi 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nanjing City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nanjing City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
6 Apr 2024
10:00 Liaoning Shenyang vs Suzhou Dongwu Analysis →
10:30 Wuxi Wugou vs Qingdao Red Lions Analysis →