Norwich City 1-0 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 28% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.91
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
14%
5.91
X/2
11%
5.35
X/X
10%
4.84
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.4
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.15/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.86
-9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
17.9 Crosses 21.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
265 Passes 253
71% Pass Accuracy 65%
25 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
10.02.2019 Norwich City Norwich City 3-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
02.09.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
18.02.2018 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
22.10.2017 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
26.02.2017 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
1-0
AWAY Ipswich Town
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
225 Passes 426
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City edged past Ipswich Town 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Norwich City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Norwich City had 38% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 62%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Norwich City and 0.83 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Ipswich Town?

Norwich City 1-0 Ipswich Town in the England - Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 40%, draw 27%, Ipswich Town 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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