AFC Malmö 0-2 Falkenbergs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

AFC Malmö
0-2 HT 0-1
Falkenbergs FF
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - 1st Division – 2024

AFC Malmö vs Falkenbergs FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.97
Over
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.63
No
39%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
44%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-9.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
+4.1pp
39%
BTTS No
43%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Malmö v Falkenbergs FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkenbergs FF The Market 46%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.30
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

AFC Malmö vs Falkenbergs FF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Falkenbergs FF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
23.09.2023 AFC Malmö 1-1 HT 0-0 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ3
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs Falkenbergs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkenbergs FF got the better of AFC Malmö 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Falkenbergs FF found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs Falkenbergs FF?

AFC Malmö 0-2 Falkenbergs FF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs Falkenbergs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 38%, draw 29%, Falkenbergs FF 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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