Vikingur R. 2-0 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 Apr 2024

Vikingur R.
2-0 HT 1-0
Stjarnan
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vikingur R. v Stjarnan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.88/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.29
+28% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
28.2 Crosses 13.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.70 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
356 Passes 324
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.10.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-1 HT 2-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
24.06.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 2-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
10.04.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-2 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
16.02.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZLK
10.10.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-1 HT 0-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
30.07.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-2 HT 0-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL

Vikingur R. 2-0 Stjarnan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
2-0
AWAY Stjarnan
2.30 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
356 Passes 280
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. beat Stjarnan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 53% of the ball to Stjarnan's 47%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.30 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vikingur R. and 1.33 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan?

Vikingur R. 2-0 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 47%, draw 26%, Stjarnan 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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