U. Catolica 2-0 Cobresal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobresal EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.72/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.48
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
23.2 Crosses 13.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cobresal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.85 xG 1.12
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
454 Passes 202
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 2-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
13.02.2023 U. Catolica 3-3 HT 3-2 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
31.07.2022 U. Catolica 1-0 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
07.03.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 3-1 HT 2-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
16.10.2021 Cobresal Cobresal 1-3 HT 1-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
31.05.2021 U. Catolica 2-1 HT 0-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
2-0
AWAY Cobresal
2.72 xG 0.22
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
234 Passes 380
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 17
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Cobresal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica got the better of Cobresal 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had U. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, U. Catolica had 41% of the ball to Cobresal's 59%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.72 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for U. Catolica and 1.67 for Cobresal.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Cobresal?

U. Catolica 2-0 Cobresal in the Chile - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Cobresal?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 46%, draw 25%, Cobresal 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (U. Catolica) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5
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