Perth Glory II 4-3 Armadale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL West, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.1pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Armadale EU Bookmakers 46%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
3.75/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.00
+150% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +63%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory II
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Armadale
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.06.2023 Armadale Armadale 4-0 HT 2-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVUSB
25.03.2023 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 4-3 HT 3-1 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
09.07.2022 Armadale Armadale 1-5 HT 1-1 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
15.04.2022 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 1-1 HT 1-1 Armadale Armadale AVUSB
30.07.2021 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 1-1 HT 1-1 Armadale Armadale AVUSB
19.06.2021 Armadale Armadale 0-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVUSB
POST-MATCH Perth Glory II vs Armadale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory II squeezed past Armadale 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Armadale at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perth Glory II had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Perth Glory II and 1.67 for Armadale.

What was the final score of Perth Glory II vs Armadale?

Perth Glory II 4-3 Armadale in the Australia - NPL West on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory II vs Armadale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Armadale win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory II 34%, draw 22%, Armadale 44%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Armadale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Armadale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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