Austria Wien 1-1 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 6 Apr 2024

Austria Wien
1-1 HT 0-0
Austria Lustenau
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Austria Wien vs Austria Lustenau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.71
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
20.0
X/1
18%
3.39
X/2
5%
15.2
X/X
13%
5.84
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
6%
13.15
2/X
6%
21.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.3pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austria Wien v Austria Lustenau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.98/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.79
+6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
367 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
20.4 Crosses 10.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Austria Wien vs Austria Lustenau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.19 xG 0.79
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
407 Passes 208
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-0 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
06.08.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-2 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
11.06.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 5-0 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
08.06.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-1 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
19.02.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-0 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
03.09.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-2 HT 1-2 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU

Austria Wien 1-1 Austria Lustenau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
1-1
AWAY Austria Lustenau
2.01 xG 0.92
76% Ball Possession 24%
21 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
468 Passes 89
81% Pass Accuracy 46%
37 Box Touches 8
33 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien and Austria Lustenau shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Austria Wien carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Austria Wien had 76% of the ball to Austria Lustenau's 24%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.01 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Austria Wien and 0.67 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Austria Lustenau?

Austria Wien 1-1 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - Bundesliga on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 58%, draw 26%, Austria Lustenau 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Austria Wien), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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