Al Wahda 3-1 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.29
2-3 Goals
35%
1.98
4-5 Goals
30%
2.69
6+ Goals
14%
6.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.2pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.88/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.72
+17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
24.2 Crosses 15.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wahda
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
328 Passes 245
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
12.05.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-1 HT 1-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
23.01.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
22.02.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-2 HT 2-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAECK
14.02.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 4-1 HT 1-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAECK
10.02.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wahda
3-1
AWAY Baniyas SC
2.66 xG 0.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 Passes 295
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wahda vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda saw off Baniyas SC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Wahda as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Wahda had 54% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 46%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.66 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wahda had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Wahda and 1.00 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Al Wahda vs Baniyas SC?

Al Wahda 3-1 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wahda vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wahda win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Wahda 50%, draw 27%, Baniyas SC 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wahda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Wahda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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