Royal Antwerp 0-1 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.13
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
19%
5.04
X/2
10%
6.36
X/X
12%
4.78
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.34
2/X
6%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.0 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +17%
1.72/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.64
-2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
19.8 Crosses 15.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Genk
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.38 xG 1.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
297 Passes 338
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Genk Genk 3-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
04.11.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-2 HT 3-1 Genk Genk BEL
04.06.2023 Genk Genk 2-2 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
07.05.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-1 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEL
12.02.2023 Genk Genk 0-1 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
11.01.2023 Genk Genk 0-3 HT 0-2 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
0-1
AWAY Genk
0.67 xG 2.07
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
413 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 37
21 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk squeezed past Royal Antwerp 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Royal Antwerp at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 59% of the ball to Genk's 41%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.67 to 2.07 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Genk's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.33 for Genk.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Genk?

Royal Antwerp 0-1 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 44%, draw 24%, Genk 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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