Arda Kardzhali 2-1 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+8.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 32%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.50/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.87
+54% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
01.06.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
19.05.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
27.06.2022 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali HAZ
28.06.2019 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
2-1
AWAY Slavia Sofia
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali nicked a narrow win over Slavia Sofia 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Arda Kardzhali made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 37% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 63%, shots finished 5-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Slavia Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 1.20 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia?

Arda Kardzhali 2-1 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 34%, draw 28%, Slavia Sofia 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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