SonderjyskE 2-0 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

SonderjyskE
2-0 HT 1-0
Hobro IK
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2023/2024

SonderjyskE vs Hobro IK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 25% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.85
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.4
X/1
20%
3.65
X/2
7%
11.85
X/X
12%
5.99
2/1
9%
22.3
2/2
11%
9.3
2/X
6%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.9pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SonderjyskE v Hobro IK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 20%
-24% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.61/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.43
-29% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
372 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.4 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

SonderjyskE vs Hobro IK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hobro IK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.66 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
367 Passes 317
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2023 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-0 HT 1-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
28.08.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-2 HT 1-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
08.10.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-0 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
12.08.2022 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-3 HT 0-2 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
16.02.2020 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 3-1 HT 2-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN
22.09.2019 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 0-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN

SonderjyskE 2-0 Hobro IK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
2-0
AWAY Hobro IK
2.31 xG 0.42
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
327 Passes 461
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE saw off Hobro IK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had SonderjyskE as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 43% of the ball to Hobro IK's 57%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 2.31 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SonderjyskE had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SonderjyskE and 0.50 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs Hobro IK?

SonderjyskE 2-0 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a SonderjyskE win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 49%, draw 26%, Hobro IK 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SonderjyskE) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SonderjyskE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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