Bahardar 1-0 Shashemene Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.16
No
48%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.8pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Shashemene Kenema EU Bookmakers 21%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
1-0
AWAY Shashemene Kenema
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Shashemene Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar nicked a narrow win over Shashemene Kenema 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bahardar as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bahardar had 49% of the ball to Shashemene Kenema's 51%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Shashemene Kenema?

Bahardar 1-0 Shashemene Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Shashemene Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 47%, draw 27%, Shashemene Kenema 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahardar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bahardar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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