Incheon United 0-1 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.9
6+ Goals
10%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.25
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
10%
4.59
X/2
16%
6.3
X/X
17%
3.82
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
14%
5.07
2/X
5%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
0.97/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.14
-13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
19.7 Crosses 16.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Jeju United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
329 Passes 432
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 30
6 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
10.05.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 2-0 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
12.03.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
11.10.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 3-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
06.09.2022 Jeju United Jeju United 0-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
18.06.2022 Jeju United Jeju United 2-1 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
0-1
AWAY Jeju United
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
363 Passes 314
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United squeezed past Incheon United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Jeju United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Incheon United had 49% of the ball to Jeju United's 51%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Incheon United and 1.00 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Jeju United?

Incheon United 0-1 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 37%, draw 28%, Jeju United 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Incheon United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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