Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
12%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.67/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.07
+24% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.5 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Seongnam
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.50 xG 0.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 Passes 181
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 2-0 HT 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
03.06.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 1-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
12.03.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 0-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
27.04.2022 Seongnam Seongnam 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOK
01.07.2020 Seongnam Seongnam 1-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOK
21.10.2018 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-1
AWAY Seongnam
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa and Seongnam shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Asan Mugunghwa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 56% of the ball to Seongnam's 44%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seongnam led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 0.67 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Seongnam?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 42%, draw 26%, Seongnam 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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