Malacateco vs Guastatoya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malacateco v Guastatoya — Team-Based Signals
Malacateco vs Guastatoya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Malacateco
GUAT
0-0
HT 0-0
Guastatoya
GUAT
4-0
HT 1-0
Malacateco
GUAT
1-1
HT 1-0
Guastatoya
GUAT
0-0
HT 0-0
Malacateco
GUAT
1-0
HT 0-0
Malacateco
GUAT
Malacateco 1-0 Guastatoya — Actual Match Statistics
Malacateco nicked a narrow win over Guastatoya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Malacateco had 63% of the ball to Guastatoya's 37%, shots finished 7-16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guastatoya led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Malacateco and 1.67 for Guastatoya.
What was the final score of Malacateco vs Guastatoya?
Malacateco 1-0 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Guastatoya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 49%, draw 25%, Guastatoya 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.