Rijnsburgse Boys 0-3 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
27%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.51/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.02
+32% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Katwijk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.31 xG 0.39
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
268 Passes 196
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2018 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-2 HT 1-1 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
07.10.2017 Katwijk Katwijk 5-0 HT 1-0 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys
0-3
AWAY Katwijk
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Rijnsburgse Boys vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk cruised past Rijnsburgse Boys 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Katwijk found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rijnsburgse Boys had 52% of the ball to Katwijk's 48%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Katwijk led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rijnsburgse Boys and 3.50 for Katwijk.

What was the final score of Rijnsburgse Boys vs Katwijk?

Rijnsburgse Boys 0-3 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijnsburgse Boys vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rijnsburgse Boys 37%, draw 22%, Katwijk 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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