Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 2-1 Saipa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 6 Apr 2024

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
2-1 HT 1-1
Saipa
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2023/2024

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Saipa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
25%
2.83
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.36
Over 2.5
42%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.81
2-3 Goals
46%
1.91
4-5 Goals
16%
7.98
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
32%
-7.0pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
70%
-12.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
30%
+12.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC v Saipa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Saipa EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.57/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.90
-46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Saipa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Saipa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
The Meetings
27.10.2023 Saipa Saipa 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
25.02.2023 Saipa Saipa 1-0 HT 1-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
28.09.2022 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-0 HT 1-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
30.03.2022 Saipa Saipa 0-2 HT 0-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Saipa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC edged past Saipa 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Mes Shahr-e Babak FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC and 0.25 for Saipa.

What was the final score of Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Saipa?

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 2-1 Saipa in the Iran - Azadegan League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Saipa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Shahr-e Babak FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 38%, draw 25%, Saipa 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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