Consadole Sapporo 1-0 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Apr 2024

Consadole Sapporo
1-0 HT 0-0
Gamba Osaka
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Consadole Sapporo vs Gamba Osaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 34% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.3
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
14%
5.03
X/2
15%
5.98
X/X
8%
4.65
2/1
11%
27.0
2/2
15%
4.19
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.9pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Consadole Sapporo v Gamba Osaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.49/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.46
-7% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
18.6 Crosses 16.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2

Consadole Sapporo vs Gamba Osaka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.05 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
390 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 4-0 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
18.03.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-2 HT 0-2 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
26.06.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
04.05.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-0 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
02.10.2021 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-5 HT 0-3 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
30.07.2021 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-2 HT 0-1 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP

Consadole Sapporo 1-0 Gamba Osaka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1-0
AWAY Gamba Osaka
0.63 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
365 Passes 311
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo nicked a narrow win over Gamba Osaka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Consadole Sapporo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 53% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 47%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.63 to 1.11 — on chances, Gamba Osaka could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Consadole Sapporo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 0.83 for Gamba Osaka.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Gamba Osaka?

Consadole Sapporo 1-0 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Consadole Sapporo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 41%, draw 24%, Gamba Osaka 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Consadole Sapporo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Consadole Sapporo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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