Al Ahli 1-4 Al Markhiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 6 Apr 2024

Al Ahli
1-4 HT 1-2
Al Markhiya
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Qatar League – 2025/2026

Al Ahli vs Al Markhiya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.46
No
53%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.97
4-5 Goals
23%
2.71
6+ Goals
10%
6.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
64%
-17.5pp
53%
BTTS No
36%
+17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli v Al Markhiya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Markhiya EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.68/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.94
+16% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
15.1 Crosses 13.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Al Ahli vs Al Markhiya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Markhiya
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
2.18 xG 0.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
323 Passes 358
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.12.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 4-1 HT 0-1 Al Markhiya Al Markhiya KATYK
24.11.2023 Al Markhiya Al Markhiya 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
09.05.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Markhiya Al Markhiya KAT
23.01.2023 Al Markhiya Al Markhiya 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Markhiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Markhiya swept aside Al Ahli 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Ahli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Al Ahli and 0.75 for Al Markhiya.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Markhiya?

Al Ahli 1-4 Al Markhiya in the Qatar League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Markhiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 45%, draw 23%, Al Markhiya 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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