06/04/2024
·
12:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhenys Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
25%
Draw
27%
28%
Away Win
22%
64%
Under 2.5
56%
36%
Over 2.5
44%
34%
BTTS Yes
47%
66%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kyzyl-Zhar v Zhenys — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kyzyl-Zhar
EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Zhenys
EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% /
-1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-7%
/
+102%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
365 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
250 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.1
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kyzyl-Zhar ran out comfortable winners over Zhenys 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Kyzyl-Zhar as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (66%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.
What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhenys?
Kyzyl-Zhar 4-0 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhenys?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kyzyl-Zhar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 47%, draw 25%, Zhenys 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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