Al Shabab 1-2 Al Jahra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.12
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
19%
3.05
6+ Goals
6%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 31% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.4pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jahra EU Bookmakers 29%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.52/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.63
-69% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
414 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Jahra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.02.2024 Al Jahra Al Jahra 5-0 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Al Shabab KUV
03.11.2023 Al Shabab Al Shabab 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Jahra Al Jahra KUV
26.12.2020 Al Shabab Al Shabab 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Jahra Al Jahra KUV
POST-MATCH Al Shabab vs Al Jahra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jahra nicked a narrow win over Al Shabab 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shabab at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Shabab had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Shabab and 2.00 for Al Jahra.

What was the final score of Al Shabab vs Al Jahra?

Al Shabab 1-2 Al Jahra in the Kuwait - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab vs Al Jahra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab 46%, draw 26%, Al Jahra 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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