Tukums II 1-1 JFK Ventspils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tukums II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 36%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+10% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +125%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tukums II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY JFK Ventspils
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.09.2023 Tukums II Tukums II 1-1 HT 1-0 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
28.05.2023 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 1-0 HT 1-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
POST-MATCH Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tukums II and JFK Ventspils couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, JFK Ventspils led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tukums II and 1.00 for JFK Ventspils.

What was the final score of Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?

Tukums II 1-1 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tukums II vs JFK Ventspils?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tukums II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tukums II 39%, draw 28%, JFK Ventspils 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tukums II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tukums II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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