Minija 0-0 Garliava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-4.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Garliava EU Bookmakers 38%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.27/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.52
-14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Garliava
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Garliava Garliava 2-0 Minija Minija LIT1
13.05.2023 Minija Minija 1-1 HT 0-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
03.09.2022 Minija Minija 0-1 HT 0-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
30.04.2022 Garliava Garliava 2-0 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
POST-MATCH Minija vs Garliava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija and Garliava played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Minija at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Garliava led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Minija and 1.50 for Garliava.

What was the final score of Minija vs Garliava?

Minija 0-0 Garliava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Garliava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Minija 41%, draw 28%, Garliava 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Minija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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