FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.41
Over 2.5
36%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
25%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.9pp
37%
Draw
30%
+6.8pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
67%
-3.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
33%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 29%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.30
-100% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
09.07.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
03.05.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
18.03.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
19.11.2021 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
12.09.2021 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 3-1 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Dainava Alytus and Banga Gargzdai shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 37% / 25%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.17 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Banga Gargzdai?

FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Dainava Alytus win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 38%, draw 37%, Banga Gargzdai 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Dainava Alytus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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