Dorados De Sinaloa 1-3 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
49%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.5pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.5pp
49%
Away Win
41%
+7.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.36/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/1.07
+15% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 0-1 HT 0-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
07.04.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 4-0 HT 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
16.10.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
13.01.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
22.10.2021 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-3 HT 0-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
28.03.2021 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-2 HT 0-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio saw off Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Tapatio as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorados De Sinaloa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 1.50 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs CD Tapatio?

Dorados De Sinaloa 1-3 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 30%, draw 21%, CD Tapatio 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Tapatio), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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