Nieciecza 1-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 30% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.73/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.36
-5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-3 HT 1-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
08.05.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
10.10.2022 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-1 HT 1-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
27.02.2021 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-1 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
29.08.2020 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
29.11.2019 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
1-1
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza and Zaglebie Sosnowiec shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nieciecza at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nieciecza had 56% of the ball to Zaglebie Sosnowiec's 44%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nieciecza had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nieciecza and 0.83 for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Nieciecza 1-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec in the Poland - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 50%, draw 24%, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nieciecza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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