ABD (K) vs Japonya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ABD (K) v Japonya (K) — Team-Based Signals
ABD (K) vs Japonya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Japonya (K)
SHEBEL
2-2
HT 1-0
Japonya (K)
HAZ
4-2
HT 2-1
Japonya (K)
Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
3-0
HT 1-0
Japonya (K)
Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
5-2
HT 4-1
Japonya (K)
KDK
2-1
HT 1-0
Japonya (K)
OLİ
ABD (K) 2-1 Japonya (K) — Actual Match Statistics
ABD (K) squeezed past Japonya (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had ABD (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, ABD (K) had 53% of the ball to Japonya (K)'s 47%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.82 to 0.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ABD (K)'s control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD (K) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for ABD (K) and 1.17 for Japonya (K).
What was the final score of ABD (K) vs Japonya (K)?
ABD (K) 2-1 Japonya (K) in the SheBelieves Cup on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs Japonya (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 46%, draw 24%, Japonya (K) 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.