Brezilya (K) 1-1 Kanada (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — SheBelieves Cup, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
49%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
15%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
34%
-11.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
49%
Away Win
40%
+8.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.0pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brezilya (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brezilya (K)
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kanada (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 312
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2023 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) HAZ
28.10.2023 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) HAZ
20.02.2023 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) SHEBEL
15.11.2022 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) HAZ
11.11.2022 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) HAZ
30.07.2021 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) OLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brezilya (K)
1-1
AWAY Kanada (K)
1.85 xG 0.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
242 Passes 176
67% Pass Accuracy 61%
30 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Brezilya (K) vs Kanada (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya (K) and Kanada (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kanada (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Brezilya (K) had 56% of the ball to Kanada (K)'s 44%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.85 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kanada (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brezilya (K) and 1.17 for Kanada (K).

What was the final score of Brezilya (K) vs Kanada (K)?

Brezilya (K) 1-1 Kanada (K) in the SheBelieves Cup on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brezilya (K) vs Kanada (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kanada (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Brezilya (K) 22%, draw 29%, Kanada (K) 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kanada (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kanada (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SHEBEL More SheBelieves Cup
6 Apr 2024
19:30 ABD (K) vs Japonya (K) Analysis →