Al Ettifaq 1-0 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.9pp
30%
Draw
20%
+10.5pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.69/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.29
+19% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
22.1 Crosses 16.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Riyadh
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 0.66
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
510 Passes 210
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 2
30 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
22.10.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
1-0
AWAY Al Riyadh
0.71 xG 0.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
428 Passes 394
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq edged past Al Riyadh 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ettifaq as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 51% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 49%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.71 to 0.57.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh?

Al Ettifaq 1-0 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 52%, draw 30%, Al Riyadh 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ettifaq), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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