Umea FC 0-1 Trelleborgs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 6 Apr 2025

Umea FC
0-1 HT 0-1
Trelleborgs FF
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2026

Umea FC vs Trelleborgs FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 30% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.15
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
13%
6.08
X/2
17%
5.46
X/X
10%
4.72
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
14%
3.51
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Umea FC v Trelleborgs FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -39%
1.21/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.80
-15% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
220 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Umea FC vs Trelleborgs FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
16.10.2020 Umea FC Umea FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
30.07.2020 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-1 HT 0-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
27.09.2012 Umea FC Umea FC 5-1 HT 2-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
07.05.2012 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 4-2 HT 2-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
10.09.2006 Umea FC Umea FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
21.05.2006 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 3-0 HT 0-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs Trelleborgs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trelleborgs FF nicked a narrow win over Umea FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Trelleborgs FF found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Umea FC and 2.00 for Trelleborgs FF.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs Trelleborgs FF?

Umea FC 0-1 Trelleborgs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs Trelleborgs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 37%, draw 26%, Trelleborgs FF 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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