Hellas Verona U20 1-0 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona U20 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.74/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.37
+16% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 4-1 HT 2-1 Hellas Verona U20 Hellas Verona U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona U20
1-0
AWAY Fiorentina U20
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hellas Verona U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellas Verona U20 nicked a narrow win over Fiorentina U20 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina U20 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hellas Verona U20 had 39% of the ball to Fiorentina U20's 61%, shots finished 13-19.

What was the final score of Hellas Verona U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Hellas Verona U20 1-0 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellas Verona U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona U20 28%, draw 30%, Fiorentina U20 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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