Imabari 4-1 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imabari EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.01/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.32
-23% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.0 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imabari
4-1
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
275 Passes 506
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Imabari vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Imabari ran out comfortable winners over V-Varen Nagasaki 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Imabari made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Imabari had 38% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 62%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Imabari vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Imabari 4-1 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imabari vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Imabari 37%, draw 28%, V-Varen Nagasaki 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Imabari) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Imabari) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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