Parceiro Nagano 1-3 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 50%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -21%
0.99/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.24
-16% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kagoshima United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-2 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
18.06.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-2 HT 0-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
01.10.2022 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 4-1 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
29.04.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-1 HT 0-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
28.11.2021 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 0-2 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
30.05.2021 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-2 HT 0-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1-3
AWAY Kagoshima United
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
297 Passes 268
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United saw off Parceiro Nagano 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Kagoshima United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 51% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 49%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 1.67 for Kagoshima United.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United?

Parceiro Nagano 1-3 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J3 League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 29%, draw 31%, Kagoshima United 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kagoshima United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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