Baerum 1-2 Sortland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.18
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
26%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.56
No
32%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
80%
-24.6pp
18%
Draw
11%
+7.6pp
26%
Away Win
9%
+17.0pp
68%
BTTS Yes
60%
+7.8pp
32%
BTTS No
40%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Sortland EU Bookmakers 12%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
451 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baerum
1-2
AWAY Sortland
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baerum vs Sortland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sortland edged past Baerum 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Baerum carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Baerum had 67% of the ball to Sortland's 33%, shots finished 19-5.

What was the final score of Baerum vs Sortland?

Baerum 1-2 Sortland in the Norway - 3rd Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs Sortland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Baerum 55%, draw 18%, Sortland 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baerum) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
6 Apr 2025
14:00 Junkeren vs Funnefoss / Vormsund Analysis →
15:00 Stabaek II vs Flint Analysis →
16:00 Kvik Trondheim vs Rosenborg II Analysis →
16:30 Byasen vs Aalesund II Analysis →