Pogon Siedlce 1-1 Lodzki KS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
12%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 49%
-16% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
0.63/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.12
-46% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Siedlce
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lodzki KS
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
13.09.2024 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 2-0 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
1-1
AWAY Lodzki KS
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pogon Siedlce vs Lodzki KS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Siedlce and Lodzki KS shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lodzki KS at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 36% of the ball to Lodzki KS's 64%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Lodzki KS?

Pogon Siedlce 1-1 Lodzki KS in the Poland - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Lodzki KS?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lodzki KS win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 31%, draw 23%, Lodzki KS 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lodzki KS), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lodzki KS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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