Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chojniczanka Chojnice v Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Team-Based Signals
Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
POL2
0-3
HT 0-1
Chojniczanka Chojnice
POL2
Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-0 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Actual Match Statistics
Chojniczanka Chojnice squeezed past Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Chojniczanka Chojnice had 44% of the ball to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 56%, shots finished 22-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chojniczanka Chojnice had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chojniczanka Chojnice and 0.33 for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.
What was the final score of Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-0 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 2nd Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chojniczanka Chojnice 32%, draw 24%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.