Bursa Nilüfer FK 1-1 Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor EU Bookmakers 43%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-17% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.11.2024 Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor 1-0 Bursa Nilüfer FK Bursa Nilüfer FK S3-4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK
1-1
AWAY Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bursa Nilüfer FK and Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bursa Nilüfer FK had 44% of the ball to Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor's 56%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor?

Bursa Nilüfer FK 1-1 Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bursa Nilüfer FK vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bursa Nilüfer FK win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Bursa Nilüfer FK 33%, draw 33%, Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
S3-4 More Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup
6 Apr 2025
00:00 İzmir Çoruhlu FK vs Kırıkkale FK Analysis →
15:00 Polatlı 1926 Spor vs Ağrı 1970 Spor Analysis →
15:00 Niğde Belediyesi Spor vs Zonguldakspor FK Analysis →