Tanzania Prisons 1-0 Kagera Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.44
No
50%
1.49
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.7pp
33%
Draw
33%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
37%
+13.1pp
50%
BTTS No
63%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tanzania Prisons EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagera Sugar EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.29/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.77
+20% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tanzania Prisons
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Kagera Sugar
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
05.12.2024 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar 0-0 Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Prisons Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
22.04.2024 Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Prisons 0-0 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
26.12.2021 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar 0-1 Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Prisons Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Tanzania Prisons vs Kagera Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tanzania Prisons nicked a narrow win over Kagera Sugar 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Tanzania Prisons found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tanzania Prisons had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Tanzania Prisons and 0.00 for Kagera Sugar.

What was the final score of Tanzania Prisons vs Kagera Sugar?

Tanzania Prisons 1-0 Kagera Sugar in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tanzania Prisons vs Kagera Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tanzania Prisons win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Tanzania Prisons 33%, draw 33%, Kagera Sugar 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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