Texoma 0-3 Naples — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Texoma EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Naples EU Bookmakers 51%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-21% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
258 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Texoma
0-3
AWAY Naples
0.50 xG 1.55
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
318 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Texoma vs Naples
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples swept aside Texoma 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Naples as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Texoma had 53% of the ball to Naples's 47%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.50 to 1.55.

What was the final score of Texoma vs Naples?

Texoma 0-3 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Texoma vs Naples?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Texoma 27%, draw 25%, Naples 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naples), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naples) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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