Hoang Anh Gia Lai 4-0 Binh Duong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 43%
+15% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.09/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.82
-1% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Binh Duong
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Binh Duong Binh Duong 4-1 HT 2-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
20.06.2024 Binh Duong Binh Duong 0-1 HT 0-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
03.12.2023 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 HT 1-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
23.07.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-2 HT 1-2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
07.07.2023 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİETK
08.02.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-1 HT 0-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
4-0
AWAY Binh Duong
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Binh Duong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoang Anh Gia Lai swept aside Binh Duong 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Hoang Anh Gia Lai made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hoang Anh Gia Lai had 50% of the ball to Binh Duong's 50%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoang Anh Gia Lai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hoang Anh Gia Lai and 1.17 for Binh Duong.

What was the final score of Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Binh Duong?

Hoang Anh Gia Lai 4-0 Binh Duong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Binh Duong?

Before kick-off our model rated an Binh Duong win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hoang Anh Gia Lai 31%, draw 30%, Binh Duong 39%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Binh Duong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VİET More Vietnam - V-League 1
6 Apr 2025
14:00 Binh Dinh vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh Analysis →
14:00 Nam Dinh FC vs Xi Mang Hai Phong Analysis →
15:15 Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An Analysis →
15:15 Viettel vs Quang Nam Analysis →
15:15 Ha Noi T&T vs Thanh Hoa Analysis →