06/04/2026
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Macclesfield vs Chester Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.7
— our 32% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
14%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
31%
Draw
27%
30%
Away Win
24%
59%
Under 2.5
55%
41%
Over 2.5
45%
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
50%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macclesfield v Chester — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Macclesfield
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Chester
EU Bookmakers 28%
-16% /
-16%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-4%
1.56/1.12
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.30/1.61
-6%
/
-3%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+10%
/
-7%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
344 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
288 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
Macclesfield vs Chester Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Macclesfield
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Chester
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
60%
Ball Possession
40%
8
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Target
3
2
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
Macclesfield 0-2 Chester — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Macclesfield
0-2
AWAY
Chester
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
2
POST-MATCH
Macclesfield vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chester saw off Macclesfield 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Chester found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Macclesfield had 54% of the ball to Chester's 46%, shots finished 13-7.
What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Chester?
Macclesfield 0-2 Chester in the England - Conference on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Chester?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 39%, draw 31%, Chester 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Macclesfield) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Macclesfield)
✓ Under 2.5
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İCON
More England - Conference
6 Apr 2026