Varbergs 0-1 Trelleborgs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 6 May 2024

Varbergs
0-1 HT 0-1
Trelleborgs FF
📅06/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Varbergs vs Trelleborgs FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.97
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
8%
4.88
X/2
9%
6.59
X/X
12%
4.98
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
20%
4.51
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Varbergs v Trelleborgs FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 34%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.70
+28% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
230 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Varbergs vs Trelleborgs FF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 2
The Meetings
08.03.2024 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 3-1 HT 1-0 Varbergs Varbergs HAZ

Varbergs 0-1 Trelleborgs FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs
0-1
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
81% Ball Possession 19%
2 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs Trelleborgs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trelleborgs FF squeezed past Varbergs 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Trelleborgs FF made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Varbergs had 81% of the ball to Trelleborgs FF's 19%.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs Trelleborgs FF?

Varbergs 0-1 Trelleborgs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs Trelleborgs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 39%, draw 27%, Trelleborgs FF 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs)
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